Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Kansas 100.0%   2   29 - 5 14 - 4 29 - 5 14 - 4 +18.2      +8.2 17 +10.0 5 70.3 108 +18.2 4 +15.5 2
21 Oklahoma St. 99.9%   5   24 - 8 13 - 5 24 - 8 13 - 5 +13.4      +5.5 52 +7.9 13 69.8 118 +13.8 21 +14.3 3
25 Kansas St. 100.0%   4   26 - 7 14 - 4 26 - 7 14 - 4 +12.6      +8.1 21 +4.5 60 61.4 290 +16.6 11 +16.5 1
35 Iowa St. 84.6%   11   22 - 11 11 - 7 22 - 11 11 - 7 +11.5      +10.4 7 +1.1 139 74.8 39 +10.7 43 +11.0 5
37 Baylor 5.7%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 +11.3      +7.2 29 +4.0 70 69.9 113 +7.4 67 +7.7 6
43 Oklahoma 83.1%   11   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +10.2      +6.2 38 +4.1 68 69.0 134 +10.4 47 +11.2 4
88 Texas 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 +5.4      +0.6 156 +4.8 50 68.4 145 +5.7 87 +5.0 7
121 West Virginia 0.0%   13 - 19 6 - 12 13 - 19 6 - 12 +3.1      +1.8 131 +1.3 131 64.6 238 +2.1 137 +3.4 8
226 Texas Tech 0.0%   11 - 20 3 - 15 11 - 20 3 - 15 -3.7      -0.8 188 -2.9 254 71.0 97 -1.9 196 -2.2 9
254 TCU 0.0%   10 - 21 2 - 16 10 - 21 2 - 16 -5.4      -5.6 301 +0.3 165 58.3 326 -2.9 216 -4.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 3.0 100.0
Kansas St. 1.0 100.0
Iowa St. 4.0 100.0
Baylor 6.0 100.0
Oklahoma 4.0 100.0
Texas 7.0 100.0
West Virginia 8.0 100.0
Texas Tech 9.0 100.0
TCU 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 14 - 4 100.0
Oklahoma St. 13 - 5 100.0
Kansas St. 14 - 4 100.0
Iowa St. 11 - 7 100.0
Baylor 9 - 9 100.0
Oklahoma 11 - 7 100.0
Texas 7 - 11 100.0
West Virginia 6 - 12 100.0
Texas Tech 3 - 15 100.0
TCU 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Oklahoma St.
Kansas St. 100.0% 100.0
Iowa St.
Baylor
Oklahoma
Texas
West Virginia
Texas Tech
TCU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   43.9 48.7 7.3 0.0
Oklahoma St. 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5   1.2 9.6 38.7 38.0 11.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.2 11.3 39.3 39.8 8.8 0.6 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 84.6% 0.0% 84.6% 11   0.0 0.4 5.2 12.5 24.1 30.7 11.9 0.0 15.4 84.6%
Baylor 5.7% 0.0% 5.7% 0.0 4.4 1.3 94.3 5.7%
Oklahoma 83.1% 0.0% 83.1% 11   0.0 0.2 3.3 9.3 20.9 32.8 16.4 0.0 16.9 83.1%
Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.7% 69.9% 46.0% 26.3% 14.4% 7.4%
Oklahoma St. 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 63.8% 31.4% 12.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.7% 33.9% 11.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Iowa St. 84.6% 11.1% 79.7% 36.3% 12.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Baylor 5.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 83.1% 15.6% 75.7% 31.2% 9.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.7 1.8 26.5 68.2 3.5
1st Round 100.0% 4.6 0.0 3.5 35.9 58.6 1.9
2nd Round 99.8% 3.0 0.2 5.1 25.3 41.5 24.0 4.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 90.0% 1.6 10.0 37.7 37.7 12.8 1.6 0.1
Elite Eight 63.2% 0.8 36.8 49.4 12.8 1.0 0.0
Final Four 35.4% 0.4 64.6 32.9 2.5 0.1
Final Game 18.0% 0.2 82.0 17.7 0.3
Champion 8.6% 0.1 91.4 8.6